For added context, when you filter out tiny sample sizes and set a 35 target minimum threshold for the data set, jeudy rises to 12th in yards per route run. He’s also 4th in YAC/reception with a healthy 12.1 adot. I’d say his advanced stats were quite impressive this year, and very telling amid a tough year for the offense. If anyone had any questions, he’s the definitive top wr over Sutton.
I have to disagree though about his ceiling being capped, though I do agree with the consistency part. Health has been the primary factor that really held him back. Had he not missed 2 games, he was on pace for 1100yds. When considering that he basically did not play in an additional 4 games, he’d likely have been on pace to potentially eclipse 1300 yards, and I don’t think we’d be viewing his ceiling as capped if that came to fruition. I think his ceiling and talent is as high as anyone else in the league, but immaturity, health, and offensive ineptitude have held him back more than some of his peers were subject to early in their careers.
When considering he’s only 23, I feel like a rebuilding team should value him as a top 15-18wr. I’ve seen enough to know he’s got elite type talent, just has to put it all together. For teams possibly approaching the end of a competing window, you might value him barely inside the top 24, or worse, due to the uncertainty of the team at present.
Whew…before I got to the conclusion, I was concerned you were going to say, “actually…he may be a good value.” I get why people like him. I am an Alabama fan (it was one of my schools I actually attended – not just a fanatic), but after his first two seasons in the NFL, it was clear Jeudy had the talent but neither the situation nor the luck. Is that to say he’ll never be good? Definitely not. But he reminds me a LOT of Corey Davis’s arc in the NFL, and that didn’t work out too great.
Sometimes you have to identify early the guys who may not reach their full potential and sell them for that potential value before other people figure it out, too.
