How do you not watch football but write for DLF? That’s like a mechanic saying he doesn’t own a car.
I thought the same thing and frankly had to read that sentence a few times as I thought I had mis-read it.
Cory, in all serious, how can you comment on something you have not personally observed? Is your analysis derived entirely from secondary sources? If so, how valuable do you deem your opinion and why do you believe it to be of the level that you can write for a fantasy football website? I am open minded enough and my questions are sincere; I really am curious as to your responses.
I personally watch way too much football. For example, this past week, I started on Thursday night and counted 10 games through the GT-Clemson game. I usually watch 5-6 college games and 4-5 NFL games per week. I am also an active dynasty football owner and play 2-3 re-drafts every year. I do not understand how human behavior and analyzing data have any direct correlation to dynasty football. Please explain.
I would initially agree with the questions posed here. However, if you take analytics into account, it could make some sense. It would remove the human bias, which we all have in some way. I think a reasonable person could ascertain value of given players, given scenarios, statistics, and behaviors.
Think of OverReaction Monday (its coming). People make decisions based on recency bias, not on long term prospects.
I think the questions are fair, I just also happen to believe a fair amount in letting some of the numbers do the talking sometimes. A large % of the big winners in DFS are either heavily involved in stats, math, or some other financial number crunching capacity. They win for 2 reasons. They enter a boatload of contests, and because they crunch a lot of numbers looking for the best statistical outcomes. They tend to beat the human bias in most of us.
I get your point about analytics. I watch practically no baseball, but finish at or near the top in my redraft league by using stats. However, baseball is an individual game. When a pitcher faces a hitter, statistics matter more: how does a batter do against left v right, are they hitting way below their career average and due for regression to the mean (or is it age or injury), has there been a noticeable dip in a pitcher’s velocity, etc.
Those are individual skills, while football requires playing with and against entire teams. I feel that to see if a player’s skill translates from college to the NFL, it does require watching them maneuver against other professionals. That speed and cutting ability may work nicely in college, but every pro player is there due to elite traits. The eye test is what I use to eliminate bias. It would be hard to do it any other way.
Irrespective of whether analytics works for football or not, what we are talking about here is an article written with all second hand information to formulate an opinion from someone who does not watch the sport. If that is acceptable, then it should also be okay for someone else to read this article, publish their own article and give their “opinion” on these matters, even if that person has never watched an NFL game. While I do not expect a fantasty football website author to use all first hand information and watch every game and ignore second hand info from local team beat writers for example, some first hand information is needed to formulate an opinion, otherwise just report facts (stats) and rumors (beat writer reports) and leave it at that.
I’m talking to my psychiatrist after reading this, I need fantasy football analysis included in my therapy sessions… go birds 🦅🏈😀
If u truly do not watch football, must be a joke, please leave this great site asap
I thought this was joke at first as well but there has been no comment from the author and he has had plenty of time to clean up this comment.
