Welcome to our Target Share series, where we are going to try and use receiving data to know the top players before it’s common knowledge. That’s not the only goal, but it’s a good place to start.
Throughout the season, I’ll collect the weekly data and post it on a sheet.
Let's get to it.
Above the Fold
Here is a look at the top-scoring receivers from week one.
High-scoring wide receivers establish relatively large roles earlier than you think and the points flow from that volume. Since 2018, 75-80% of the top 12 receivers are already averaging more than 20% target share. Slightly fewer average over 15 points per game (PPG) by week one. The missing few are often due to injury or later season breakouts like Hunter Renfrow in 2021.
Thanks Peter! I love to see this type of article evolve as the season goes on, especially with so many young and talented WR’s in the league.
