Dynasty League Football

Dynasty

Dynasty Fantasy Football Target Share: Do Routes Predict Targets?

We take a deep dive into to usefulness of route and target data in predicting fantasy success.

Gabriel Davis

Editor's note: In light of the on-field incident involving Bills safety Damar Hamlin, we want to be sensitive to this situation. There is no easy way to deal with trauma, so in order to account for all preferences, we going to continue our normal content schedule. Our thoughts are with Hamlin and his family as we all hope for his swift and full recovery. If you would like to contribute to Hamlin's charity, we strongly encourage donations be made here.

There is one week left before we look to do a year-in-review conclusion to this series. I went back and forth on what to write about this week because of where we are in the season.

Suggesting a start-sit decision is moot, and future production is a year away.

Ultimately, I’ve decided on doing some background work on the connection between a player’s stats and what we can and can’t know about their future target share in the following season (or year N+1 if you’re a nerd).

I think this will set us up better for drawing more conclusions about what 2023 may bring.

As always, here’s your weekly reminder that I’m collecting the weekly data (again,) and you can find it here.

Let’s get to it.

When Does Target Share Increase?

On a broad scale, second-year players see the largest and only consistent and predictable increase in volume at the wide receiver position.

SIGN UP FOR DLF PREMIUM ACCESS!
Gain Instant Access to this content and so much more.
A full year of DLF Premium access is only $49.99.
Try DLF Premium for only $9.99 with a Monthly Subscription.
Or better yet, get a DLF Annual Membership for FREE! Find out how
Premium membership provides access to all of our awesome dynasty content. No confusing plans, no shell games, just everything you need with one simple subscription.
  • The best dynasty rankings in the industry
  • Dynasty, Rookie & Superflex ADP
  • Dynasty Trade Analyzer and other awesome tools
  • Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides
  • 365 days of content, tools, advice and support
  • And so much more!
Want more information about DLF Premium? Find out more
Have questions or need some help? Contact Us
Already a DLF Premium Member? Log in now

Dynasty Fantasy Football Target Share: Do Routes Predict Targets?
1 Comment
5 1 vote
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
1 Comment
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Dan Harnack
5 months ago

good stuff big pimpin

To Top